Iowa basketball sees opponent swap in ESPN March Madness Bracketology

Winners of four straight, the Iowa Hawkeyes are a mainstay in the latest ESPN NCAA Tournament bracketology once again. Things are shaking up a little bit for the Hawkeyes in this week’s rendition of the projections after seeing some common opponents for a string of updates.

With three winnable games in front of them against Washington, Northwestern, and Maryland, now is the time for Iowa to make some hay and climb up one or two seed lines before things get tougher, starting with a seismic showdown against the Purdue Boilermakers.

While Iowa enjoys some time off before getting back in action on the road against Washington, check out the latest March Madness bracketology update.

Iowa Hawkeyes‘ seed

Iowa forward Alvaro Folgueiras (7) huddles with Iowa assistant coach Bryston Williams during a timeout Jan. 28, 2026 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa.

  • Seed: No. 8 seed
  • Opponent: No. 9 SMU

Bracket

St. Johns Red Storm head coach Rick Pitino coaches in the first half of the NCAA basketball game at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati on Saturday, Jan. 24, 2026.

  • No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 16 Merrimack
  • No. 8 Iowa vs. No. 9 SMU
  • No. 5 St. John’s vs. No. 12 Belmont
  • No. 4 Vanderbilt vs. No. 13 UNC Wilmington
  • No. 6 Louisville vs. No. 11 Ohio State / No. 11 Texas
  • No. 3 Michigan State vs. No. 14 Wright State
  • No. 7 Auburn vs. No. 10 Indiana
  • No. 2 Gonzaga vs. No. 15 UT Martin

Top Seeds

Jan 27, 2026; Storrs, Connecticut, USA; UConn Huskies head coach Dan Hurley watches from the sideline as they take on the Providence Friars at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images

  • No. 1 seeds: Michigan, Arizona, UConn, Duke
  • No. 2 seeds: Iowa State, Gonzaga, Houston, Illinois
  • No. 3 seeds: Michigan State, Florida, Nebraska, Purdue
  • No. 4 seeds: Kansas, Vanderbilt, BYU, Texas Tech

Bubble Watch

Jan 14, 2026; University Park, Pennsylvania, USA; UCLA Bruins head coach Mick Cronin gestures to his players from the bench during the second half against the Penn State Nittany Lions at Bryce Jordan Center. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-Imagn Images

  • Last Four Byes: Indiana, UCLA, New Mexico, Miami
  • Last Four In: USC, Ohio State, San Diego State, Texas
  • First Four Out: Virginia Tech, California, Seton Hall, Santa Clara
  • Next Four Out: Missouri, TCU, George Mason, VCU

Conference Breakdown

Feb 1, 2026; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Iowa State Cyclones head coach T.J. Otzelberger watches his team during the second half against the Kansas State Wildcats at Bramlage Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Scott Sewell-Imagn Images

  • Big Ten: 11
  • SEC: 10
  • ACC: 8
  • Big 12: 7
  • Big East: 3
  • Mountain West: 3
  • West Coast: 2
  • MEAC: 2

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This article originally appeared on Hawkeyes Wire: Iowa basketball sees opponent swap in ESPN March Madness Bracketology